Polymarket Trader

sadqwesd

0x51286bbd58dd4c8edfa18501aa2d0ce895be4e78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $328.39
Realized PnL: $790.76
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $29.01
Potential payout: $252.3
Potential profit: $223.29
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$40.99

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.86
Potential profit: $211.86
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $155.15
Potential payout: $165.84
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $138.09
Potential profit: $119.45
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$29.36

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $125.13
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $25.13

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.98
Potential profit: $104.98
User PnL: -$16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.42
Potential profit: $102.42
User PnL: -$49

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Top Esports position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.49
Potential profit: $79.49
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.22
Potential profit: $51.22
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.01
Potential profit: $28.01
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $24.59
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.65
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.54

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.48

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.61

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.79

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.37

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

Yes position

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.92

No position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.6

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.4% 53.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

Up 39% 45.5 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.1% 112.23 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 27.7% 252.3 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 34.8% 138.09 shares
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Yes 17.8% 28.01 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 78% 128.21 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

No 8% 100 shares
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?

No 96.4% 58.1 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

No 10.3% 87.27 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Top Esports 39% 79.49 shares