No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x5139D82046FA5B7f45d729EB814B811A54DB9402-1753430824915
0x5139d82046fa5b7f45d729eb814b811a54db9402
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- $30.7K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.52K
- Potential profit
- $25.52K
- User PnL
- -$51.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $378.75
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $8.64K
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$224.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $242.82
- Potential payout
- $8.37K
- Potential profit
- $8.13K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$659.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- User PnL
- -$110.08
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $494.35
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.71K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$551.88
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $117.78
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$385.35
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $54.45
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.25K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$34.65
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- User PnL
- -$37.12
Yes position
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$173.45
Yes position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- User PnL
- -$14.91
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.93
- Potential profit
- $840.93
- User PnL
- -$353.19
Yes position
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806
- Potential profit
- $806
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.46
- Potential profit
- $700.46
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $642.02
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $641.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.59
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.29
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.8
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $151.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $134.56
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.8
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $29.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.62
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.74
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$6.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,963.63 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.5% 107.15 shares
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27% 330.67 shares
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 19% 175 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 0.2% 7,950.9 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 0.2% 14,564.77 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 0.2% 3,000 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 107.15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 67.4% 1,637.27 shares