Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Polymarket Trader
mumuto
0x51433cb120ed5bba75e1743b042f1968be43cb54
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.25
- Realized PnL
- $194.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $187
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $42.81
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $82.19
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $22.81
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $15.44
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $109.56
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will NightCap Camera be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.75
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Clavicular in jail by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will NightCap Camera be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Solana above $190 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?No 25% 50 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?No 45% 5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 19% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 66% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 75% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 80% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 60% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.1% 6.78 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?Yes 3% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 9% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 21% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 33% 20 shares