Polymarket Trader

0x5144...37c9

0x51443076fb1d6ef85ac16de97ae86c018e0c37c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $5.47K
Realized PnL: $4.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $75.74
Potential payout: $11.65K
Potential profit: $11.58K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$40.79

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $33.97
Potential payout: $9.71K
Potential profit: $9.67K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $62.32
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5.66

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $27.51
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $88.57
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$111.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: $18.23

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $313.85
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $79.57

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$44.38

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $913.1
Potential profit: $912.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$652.97

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $671.71
Potential payout: $718.41
Potential profit: $46.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $171.73

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $389.26
Potential payout: $714.24
Potential profit: $324.98
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$10.71

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $65.06
Potential payout: $602.4
Potential profit: $537.34
Multiplier: 9.26x
User PnL: -$34.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $57.95
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $198.46
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $148.94
Potential payout: $211.26
Potential profit: $62.32
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$15.84

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $32.08
Potential payout: $204.99
Potential profit: $172.91
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$17.92

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $22.41
Potential payout: $160.08
Potential profit: $137.67
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$46.42

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $44.22
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $83.99
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$7.46

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $52.28
Potential profit: $47.71
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: -$10.43

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $20.89
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $10.89

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $17.85
Potential profit: $16.24
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $10.03
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Ryan Gravenberch score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $996.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.69

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.05

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $397.1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.07

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $268.16

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.14

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $112.81

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $112.21

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $72.84

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $60.66

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.06

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.67

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.21

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.79

Yes position

Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.01

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.45

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.71

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $38.86

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.88

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $37.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 87% 617.29 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 39% 128.21 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 19.5% 256.41 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 47% 370.35 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 61.9% 284.08 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 99.7% 947.98 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 73.8% 271.06 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 73.9% 676.93 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 641.03 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 65.5% 305.48 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 73% 75 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 72% 120.05 shares