No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Polymarket Trader
0x515ad5d2800E31B1c265653DB80733B05699f60C-1769290037256
0x515ad5d2800e31b1c265653db80733b05699f60c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.52
- Realized PnL
- -$24.84
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $2.51
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No 84% 5 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No 1.4% 20 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 79% 5 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 11% 86.8 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 4.7% 313.85 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 2.7% 414.16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 92% 3.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 4.6% 414.16 shares
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No 77% 0.93 shares