Polymarket Trader

ishouldnot

0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $132.18K
Realized PnL: $40.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.18K
Potential profit: $402.18K
User PnL: -$47.41K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.5K
Potential payout: $29.51K
Potential profit: $14.76
User PnL: $2.98K

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $26.1K
Potential payout: $28K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.7K

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $19.56K
Potential payout: $20.2K
Potential profit: $636.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $827.79

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.73K
Potential payout: $17.74K
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: $6.11K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$9.9K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $12.67K
Potential payout: $12.76K
Potential profit: $95.72
User PnL: $256.7

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: $425.01

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $4.57K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.75K

No position

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.64

No position

Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $325.92
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $22.58

No position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $213.99
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $290.01

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $290
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $99

No position

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $25.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $61.27

No position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $17.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $98.62

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$18.5

No position

Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $350.9
Potential payout: $372.5
Potential profit: $21.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.58

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $6.95
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $11.35K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.29

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $458.56

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.58

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $262.72

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.14

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.96

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.11

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.72

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.21

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $124.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 41% 19,100.01 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 65% 3,227 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

No 99.4% 0.52 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 72% 10.5 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 57% 5.4 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 63% 5,245.16 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 43.8% 86.38 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 41.4% 45 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 27.6% 7 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 79.4% 15.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 79.5% 129.15 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 79.7% 108.32 shares