Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $593.01
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $6.38K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$188.09
Polymarket Trader
0x5161...3c38
0x516171014e6bc0cf5ce9b16e9afd79c7624b3c38
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- -$197.54
- Win rate
- 13%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $817.21
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$173.48
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $645.67
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455.87
- Potential profit
- $455.87
- User PnL
- -$141.24
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.09
- Potential profit
- $300.09
- User PnL
- -$105.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $25.62
- Potential payout
- $186.34
- Potential profit
- $160.71
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.29
- Potential profit
- $96.29
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $86.9
- Potential profit
- $84.42
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $356.99
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.78
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.91
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Blazers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Wolves position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.92
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$40.39
Yes position
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.4
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.57
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.51
Yes position
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.55
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.69
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$154
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$154
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 10% 544.61 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7% 902.14 shares
- Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?Yes 1.7% 117.06 shares
- Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 41.8% 166.32 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 9.9% 473.7 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 35% 300.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 544.61 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 186.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 31% 455.87 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.2% 640.16 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. TimberwolvesWolves 10% 149.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 41.3% 294.98 shares