Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.15K
- Potential profit
- $11.15K
- User PnL
- -$5.56K
Polymarket Trader
Echelonprt
0x516d99159930cbae003756af74fecf61159903e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.03K
- Realized PnL
- $36.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $7.25K
- User PnL
- -$4.36K
Yes position
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
No position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$4.27K
Yes position
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $5.27K
- User PnL
- -$3.22K
Yes position
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- -$789.46
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $911.68
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$102.32
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$341.65
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$758.14
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$410.75
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$260
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$137.59
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $759.37
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $18.54
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20–25%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$277.36
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$357
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$158.78
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$416
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$724.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37K
No position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $921.42
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915.25
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.41
No position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.39
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $825.25
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.61
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777.06
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $774.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $724
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Kinzinger?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 23% 10 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 55% 21.91 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 20 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 10 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 51% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 67.2% 300 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 37% 500 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes 69% 150 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 91.7% 300 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 92% 220 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 73% 200 shares