NoDoubtD

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $386.28
Potential payout: $522
Potential profit: $135.72
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $101.65
Potential payout: $472.78
Potential profit: $371.13
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $12.91

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $89.25
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $260.74
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $182.34
Potential payout: $284.91
Potential profit: $102.57
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $20.65

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $30.93
Potential payout: $268.96
Potential profit: $238.03
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $172.69
Potential payout: $228.73
Potential profit: $56.04
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $201.45
Potential payout: $213.51
Potential profit: $12.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.56

No position

Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $191.36
Potential payout: $199.44
Potential profit: $8.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $189.75
Potential payout: $198.8
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $20.77

No position

Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $181.97
Potential payout: $194.62
Potential profit: $12.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $37.75

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $190.99
Potential profit: $187.84
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $120.08
Potential payout: $145.56
Potential profit: $25.47
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $105.7
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $34.3
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.9

No position

Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $111.56
Potential payout: $119.32
Potential profit: $7.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $91.1
Potential payout: $99.56
Potential profit: $8.46
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $95.75
Potential payout: $99.38
Potential profit: $3.63
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $95.92
Potential payout: $99.24
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $15.53

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $53.29
Potential payout: $67.88
Potential profit: $14.59
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $7.55

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $47.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $45.74
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.62

No position

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

No position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.7

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET