Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $122.49
- Potential payout
- $163.32
- Potential profit
- $40.83
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $29.4
Polymarket Trader
chufu
0x51814d3020ee0a52b11f0ed65c21a102e06d504b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $518.95
- Realized PnL
- $816.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $99.18
- Potential payout
- $133.12
- Potential profit
- $33.95
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.13
- Potential profit
- $120.13
- User PnL
- -$37.24
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.28
- Potential profit
- $99.28
- User PnL
- -$24.82
N
No position
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $57.82
- Potential payout
- $93.26
- Potential profit
- $35.44
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $3.73
N
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $77.28
- Potential payout
- $90.39
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14.91
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.64
- Potential profit
- $88.64
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $71.61
- Potential payout
- $79.57
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $9.55
Karmine Corp position
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.58
- Potential profit
- $77.58
- User PnL
- -$37.24
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.56
- Potential profit
- $77.56
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.21
- Potential profit
- $75.21
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Team Liquid position
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.91
- Potential profit
- $70.91
- User PnL
- -$24.82
BetBoom Team position
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.26
- Potential profit
- $70.26
- User PnL
- -$37.24
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.64
- Potential profit
- $63.64
- User PnL
- -$24.82
KT Rolster position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $57.72
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.79
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.96
- Potential profit
- $53.96
- User PnL
- -$24.82
LYON position
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.81
- Potential profit
- $52.81
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.6%
- Current value
- $18.47
- Potential payout
- $50.46
- Potential profit
- $31.99
- Multiplier
- 2.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Dplus KIA position
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.83
- Potential profit
- $46.83
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Yes position
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $22.63
- Potential payout
- $45.72
- Potential profit
- $23.09
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $34.77
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.69
- Potential profit
- $40.69
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $38.76
- Potential payout
- $38.78
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $13.94
LYON position
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.98
- Potential profit
- $37.98
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Karmine Corp position
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.18
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.81
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.28
Karmine Corp position
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.46
Karmine Corp position
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.43
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.73
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.82
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79
N
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.87
T1 position
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.29
Dplus KIA position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55
Sentinels position
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.87
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.87
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.58
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBNK FEARX 25% 19.84 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 36.9% 50.46 shares
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageNongshim Red Force 64% 38.78 shares
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageKT Rolster 43% 57.72 shares
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBNK FEARX 68% 36.5 shares
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageNongshim Red Force 58% 8.55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No 88% 35.26 shares
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerImperial 60% 8.27 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes 78% 79.56 shares
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 WinnerPARIVISION 60% 41.37 shares
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Vitality 10% 44.32 shares
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION 99.9% 48.66 shares