Polymarket Trader

AllByMyseIf

0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $87.58K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 50
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.21K
Potential profit: $637.21K
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61K
Potential profit: $296.61K
User PnL: -$14.99K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.66K
Potential profit: $216.66K
User PnL: -$21.73K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.59K
Potential profit: $171.59K
User PnL: -$359.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.2K
Potential profit: $109.2K
User PnL: -$1.33K

No position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.97K
Potential profit: $99.97K
User PnL: -$14.36K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.31K
Potential profit: $97.31K
User PnL: -$2.36K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.2K
Potential profit: $95.2K
User PnL: -$10.85K

Yes position

Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.19K
Potential profit: $94.19K
User PnL: -$581.97

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.2K
Potential profit: $90.2K
User PnL: -$1.59K

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.75K
Potential profit: $80.75K
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $70.48K
Potential payout: $76.19K
Potential profit: $5.71K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.04K
Potential profit: $67.04K
User PnL: -$8.12K

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.82K
Potential profit: $60.82K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.52K
Potential profit: $54.52K
User PnL: -$1.04K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.65K
Potential profit: $52.65K
User PnL: -$510.26

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.71K
Potential profit: $47.71K
User PnL: -$2.53K

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.23K
Potential profit: $47.23K
User PnL: -$58.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.77K
Potential profit: $46.77K
User PnL: -$269.04

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.02K
Potential profit: $42.02K
User PnL: -$634.38

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.85K
Potential profit: $38.85K
User PnL: -$221.12

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.38K
Potential profit: $37.38K
User PnL: -$14.33K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.25K
Potential profit: $35.25K
User PnL: -$589.17

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.95K
Potential profit: $34.95K
User PnL: -$83.7

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.33K
User PnL: -$20.46K

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.66K
Potential profit: $30.66K
User PnL: -$3.32K

No position

Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.95K
Potential profit: $28.95K
User PnL: -$1.65K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.27K
Potential profit: $28.27K
User PnL: -$593.92

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.39K
Potential profit: $27.39K
User PnL: -$1.39K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.13K
Potential profit: $27.13K
User PnL: -$2.24K

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.83K
Potential profit: $26.83K
User PnL: -$297.86

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.82K
Potential profit: $25.82K
User PnL: -$9.09K

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.98K
Potential profit: $24.98K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.92K
Potential profit: $23.92K
User PnL: -$308.51

Yes position

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.9K
Potential profit: $23.9K
User PnL: -$3.73K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.8K
Potential profit: $23.8K
User PnL: -$6.16K

No position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.03K
Potential profit: $23.03K
User PnL: -$12.45K

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.9K
Potential profit: $17.9K
User PnL: -$2.02K

No position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $17.1K
Potential payout: $17.16K
Potential profit: $60.07
User PnL: $291.15

Yes position

Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.12K
Potential profit: $17.12K
User PnL: -$3.34K

No position

Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.05K
Potential profit: $16.05K
User PnL: -$4.67K

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $15.16K
User PnL: -$135.32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.52K
Potential profit: $14.52K
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $14.03K
User PnL: -$898.88

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $12.68K
User PnL: -$2.8K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.57K
Potential profit: $12.57K
User PnL: -$4.53K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.34K
Potential profit: $11.34K
User PnL: -$2.03K

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28K
Potential profit: $11.28K
User PnL: -$2.35K

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.61K
Potential profit: $10.61K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $10.46K
User PnL: -$791.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 100,000 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

No 93% 83.73 shares
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 95.6% 829.35 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 3,265.02 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Yes 99.2% 788.78 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 95% 5.03 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 93.9% 5,806.55 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82% 2,411.45 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84.1% 20,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 83% 994.41 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4,106.77 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.2% 400 shares