Polymarket Trader

0x518FbfbfF034d3dE4c92e7d13E435ff76D20df4c-1768449182458

0x518fbfbff034d3de4c92e7d13e435ff76d20df4c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.2
Realized PnL: $21.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $3.14
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.62
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

No 64.8% 2.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

No 41.7% 2.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

Yes 58.2% 3.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?

No 99.2% 4.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 14?

No 98.1% 1.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?

No 75.7% 1.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?

Yes 97% 3.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?

No 95.5% 2.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?

Yes 60% 1.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?

Yes 38.2% 2.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

Yes 33.2% 3.01 shares