No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $695.23
- Potential payout
- $863.64
- Potential profit
- $168.41
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $125.23
Polymarket Trader
Cripsinus
0x519f3ac693e34e8943f428dcc131745b0cd65ac1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $719.25
- Realized PnL
- -$403.82
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $24.02
- Potential payout
- $26.54
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.92
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.56
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$127.56
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 66% 863.64 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 56% 99.21 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 37% 1,351.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 63% 26.54 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 0.1% 1,439.15 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.8% 142.86 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.7% 925.93 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 84% 14.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 52% 576.92 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 27% 370.37 shares