No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.8%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- -$978.86
Polymarket Trader
0x51A1594936783A3F526BA11c2197378E1225D654-1768341020180
0x51a1594936783a3f526ba11c2197378e1225d654
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.9K
- Realized PnL
- $676.11
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Major US official out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$219.32
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$566.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 8% 616.13 shares
- Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 13.36 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 94.2% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 66.2% 4,268.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94% 2,827.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 87% 2,059.77 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 20% 2,527.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 66% 235.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes 63% 319.72 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 38% 528 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 37% 2,045.81 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 19% 4,103.57 shares