Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $710.49
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.39K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.91K
Polymarket Trader
fanzong1024
0x51a15d76e6b5cd7e0b21fa1f3d1995439a5da78f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $710.49
- Realized PnL
- $43.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.42
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.44
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.92
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,100 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.58
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.85
No position
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.23
Yes position
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.1
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.36
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.62
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.19
No position
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.55
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No 95.6% 347.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No 95.6% 1,547.83 shares
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No 99.9% 14,526.01 shares
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No 99.9% 1,170.2 shares
- Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No 99.8% 66,653.34 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 0.1% 3,019.32 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 0.3% 9,486.52 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes 42% 1,690.93 shares
- Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 50% 1,496.46 shares
- Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 96% 17,713.75 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 96% 22,708.13 shares
- Pistons vs. ClippersClippers 99.9% 23,882.37 shares