Polymarket Trader

danikonsens

0x51a2df90590cc34f4f7da756f7326b26a5ca051b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.86
Realized PnL: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $37.49
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $579.82
Potential profit: $578.37
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $483.87
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.48
Potential profit: $479.48
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Sweden win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.51
Potential profit: $443.51
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424.59
Potential profit: $424.59
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.66
Potential profit: $422.66
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.36
Potential profit: $354.36
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.5
Potential profit: $318.5
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.83
Potential profit: $307.83
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.67
Potential profit: $306.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.93
Potential profit: $298.93
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.93
Potential profit: $275.93
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.12
Potential profit: $264.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $227.28
Potential profit: $225.69
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.65
Potential profit: $223.65
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.33
Potential profit: $182.33
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.11
Potential profit: $179.11
User PnL: -$14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.48

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.86

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.51

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.16

Yes position

Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.17

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.72

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.53

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.7

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.49

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.4%
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $65.76

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.09

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.44

Monaco position

Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.41

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.29

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.78

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.21

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.38

Zalgiris Kaunas position

Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Monaco position

Anadolu Efes vs. Monaco

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $39.28

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.38

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

Sweden 47% 21.28 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Yes 69% 71.42 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

No 93% 118.28 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 16.5% 121.53 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares