Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $129.17
- Potential profit
- $126.26
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Polymarket Trader
Sunless2005
0x51a566dea5bef0522fdddefe0c60b1bf3330a9a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.81
- Realized PnL
- -$0.16
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $18.05
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $15.97
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 33% 12.12 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown 14% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 28% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 17% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp 24% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 99% 3.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp 31% 3.23 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares