0x51aa...1c27

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.83
Potential profit: $36.83
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $26.01
Potential profit: $24.32
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.18
Potential profit: $21.18
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.55
Potential profit: $19.55
User PnL: -$3.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.68
Potential profit: $15.68
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.58
Potential profit: $15.58
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $11.16
Potential profit: $6.19
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $10.4
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $10.27
User PnL: -$3.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $10.14
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62
Potential profit: $6.62
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $6.5
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.48
Potential profit: $5.48
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$1.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $5.38
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $5.24
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $5.24
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $5.2
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $5.2
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $5.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 29?