Polymarket Trader

PCMTest

0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $14.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.96K
Potential profit: $182.96K
User PnL: -$182.96

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $60K
User PnL: -$99.96

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.45K
Potential profit: $17.45K
User PnL: -$422.36

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.84K
Potential profit: $12.84K
User PnL: -$200.64

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.74K
Potential profit: $12.74K
User PnL: -$32.06

Yes position

Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99K
Potential profit: $11.99K
User PnL: -$41.14

Yes position

Will Noah Kahan have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.79K
Potential profit: $10.79K
User PnL: -$10.79

Yes position

Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $10.46K
User PnL: -$20.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.02K
Potential profit: $10.02K
User PnL: -$11.59

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$23.92

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23K
Potential profit: $8.23K
User PnL: -$77.58

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $7.41K
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.3K
Potential profit: $7.3K
User PnL: -$14.6

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $6.73K
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$12

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $5.54K
User PnL: -$18.17

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

Yes position

Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $830.55

No position

Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.83

No position

Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.35

No position

Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577.8

No position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.13

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.35

No position

Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.72

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.15

No position

Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.37

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.24

No position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.85

No position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.54

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $241.3

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.14

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.31

No position

Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.82

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.53

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.06

No position

Will NVIDIA say "Humanoid" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.2

Yes position

Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.54

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

No 59.6% 25 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 18% 214 shares
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?

No 12% 126 shares
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ assists

No 79% 116 shares
Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 27.8% 73 shares
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Yes 30% 30 shares
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Yes 30.4% 50 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 50% 34 shares
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?

Yes 47% 19.99 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 50.9% 145 shares
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Yes 53.5% 16 shares
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

No 88% 89.99 shares