No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $206.33
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $143.68
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Polymarket Trader
srgrs
0x51c3bdce284bc1c1175e123d35a850e718a3625a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $380.33
- Realized PnL
- $5.14K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $174
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $992
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.07
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $203.07
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$3.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.7% 0.3 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.7% 3,227 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.8% 963.86 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.9% 400 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 57% 2,071.86 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 83% 780 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 86% 774 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 63% 3,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?Up 10.5% 2,000 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?Yes 68% 3,100 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No 99.9% 300.3 shares