Polymarket Trader

0x51C8Dbac7624F214e9aFf815DDcA49B7639A22d8-1766273812029

0x51c8dbac7624f214e9aff815ddca49b7639a22d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.34
Realized PnL: $567.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.73
Potential profit: $313.73
User PnL: -$51

No position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.65
Potential profit: $156.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.88
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.81
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.2
Potential profit: $41.2
User PnL: -$10

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.74
Potential profit: $26.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $24.1
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $20.24
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.21
Potential profit: $15.21
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.03
Potential profit: $9.03
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.72
Potential profit: $4.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.85

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.11

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.69

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.75

Over position

England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.56

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Vance say "Iran" during his Rocky Mount visit?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

No position

Maduro mugshot released by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 10,000 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 5% 19 shares
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5

Over 99.9% 47.61 shares
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 4.7% 21.28 shares
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5

Over 21% 47.62 shares
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

No 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

No 31.9% 156.65 shares
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?

No 34% 147.06 shares
Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 88.5% 800 shares