No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $915
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $58.72
Polymarket Trader
TonyMagari
0x51cd9e9b9e16196c83820c238b859b295ae5a844
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $915
- Realized PnL
- $94.64
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $48.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 99.2% 206.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 96.7% 206.86 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 97.8% 212.01 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 11.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 65.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 98.9% 215.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 200.07 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 68.6 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.1% 135.91 shares