Polymarket Trader

0x51e333DaBc4879a729ee6469098d47Cda1A424FF-1768635035737

0x51e333dabc4879a729ee6469098d47cda1a424ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.43
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.04
Potential profit: $389.04
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.42
Potential profit: $322.42
User PnL: -$11.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $321.3
Potential profit: $321.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.34
Potential profit: $285.34
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.92
Potential profit: $262.92
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.19
Potential profit: $246.19
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $25.63
Potential payout: $227.85
Potential profit: $202.22
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.43
Potential profit: $198.43
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.05
Potential profit: $190.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.9
Potential profit: $189.9
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.07
Potential profit: $175.07
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $162.33
Potential profit: $156.9
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.67
Potential profit: $157.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.46
Potential profit: $155.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $147.8
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.25
Potential profit: $146.25
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.39
Potential profit: $123.39
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.66
Potential profit: $116.66
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $83.51
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $2.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.93

OKSavingsBank BRION position

LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 151.52 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 162.33 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 60.98 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.1% 52.36 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 96.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 54.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 7.7% 25.97 shares