Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Current value
- $393.57
- Potential payout
- $980.24
- Potential profit
- $586.67
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Polymarket Trader
0x51fe...4678
0x51fea3a96aed8c309b4d06c24c62170b21414678
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $81.77
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $756.95
- Potential payout
- $775.56
- Potential profit
- $18.61
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $21.04
- Potential payout
- $413.27
- Potential profit
- $392.23
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $35.02
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $120.98
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$15.99
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $20.96
- Potential payout
- $22.09
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.01
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $39.88
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$9.03
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$11.87
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$55.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.1% 508 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.8% 780.32 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 40.1% 980.24 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.3% 434.66 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.4% 31.28 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.8% 22.09 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.7% 156 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 4% 635.45 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 5.7% 635.45 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.6% 855.67 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.6% 847.87 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.1% 66.37 shares