Polymarket Trader

ecama

0x51feb0aec1a5d430fba7748e791acddf0adeea38

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.09
Realized PnL: $266.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $68.11
Potential payout: $45.4K
Potential profit: $45.34K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $22.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $32.98
Potential payout: $33.43
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Panthers position

Kings vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.56

Bears position

Bears vs. Eagles

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Virginia Cavaliers position

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 1?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $172 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 98.7% 33.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.7% 1.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.6% 3.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.7% 2.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.4% 3.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 98.9% 2.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.1% 1.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 2.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 3.14 shares
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.9% 2.18 shares
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.9% 1.89 shares
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.9% 2.15 shares