No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $4.73K
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $776.57
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $278.13
Polymarket Trader
StraddleSeller
0x52071e89ed7f68478a428fd65aed5dc572be686b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.7K
- Realized PnL
- $12.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.68K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $325.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $583.4
Yes position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$298.82
No position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $78.37
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.97K
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $545.08
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $233.75
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $54.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $32.91
Yes position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $768.38
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $815.91
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $12.44
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $164.3
No position
Will Steven Gerrard be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $992.3
- Potential payout
- $992.8
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $9.44
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $576.42
- Potential payout
- $795.06
- Potential profit
- $218.64
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $70.91
No position
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $700.13
- Potential payout
- $743.24
- Potential profit
- $43.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $26.85
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $525.52
- Potential payout
- $537.07
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $498.06
- Potential payout
- $530.98
- Potential profit
- $32.92
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $26.31
No position
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $241.59
- Potential payout
- $503.31
- Potential profit
- $261.72
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$30.09
Yes position
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $409.7
- Potential payout
- $499.63
- Potential profit
- $89.93
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $106.74
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $339.43
- Potential payout
- $495.52
- Potential profit
- $156.09
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $193.08
- Potential payout
- $374.9
- Potential profit
- $181.83
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $73.11
Yes position
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $28.6
- Potential payout
- $290.31
- Potential profit
- $261.72
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$16.24
Yes position
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $15.83
- Potential payout
- $285.21
- Potential profit
- $269.38
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
No position
Will Jurgen Klopp be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $250.78
- Potential payout
- $250.91
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $199.8
- Potential payout
- $214.95
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $63.34
- Potential payout
- $91.15
- Potential profit
- $27.81
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $54.2
- Potential profit
- $49.33
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $24.96
- Potential profit
- $15.35
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $840.88
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.09
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $640.79
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $607.35
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.49
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.36
No position
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.38
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.63
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $507.56
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $494.77
No position
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.99
No position
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.63
Yes position
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.63
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.44
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.21
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.15
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.93
Yes position
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.55
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.77
No position
Will Snowflake say "Azure" during earnings call?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.66
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.83
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes 64% 541.22 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?No 63.6% 1,101.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 60% 485.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 15 shares
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes 89.2% 33.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 60% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 186 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 689.42 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 75.8% 202.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 592.06 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?Yes 97.1% 179.5 shares