Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0x5219156844fF1cE290dC7F24d687C5386b759781-1780766504920
0x5219156844ff1ce290dc7f24d687c5386b759781
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.19K
- Realized PnL
- $906.87
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $51.67
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$18.33
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $272.48
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $994.86
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$127.52
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.4
No position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $625
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $795.45
- Potential profit
- $795.45
- User PnL
- -$350
No position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.13
- Potential profit
- $749.13
- User PnL
- -$470
Yes position
USMCA extended in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $181.3
- Potential payout
- $614.56
- Potential profit
- $433.27
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $31.3
Yes position
Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $75.32
- Potential payout
- $602.53
- Potential profit
- $527.21
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.68
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $536.05
- Potential payout
- $595.95
- Potential profit
- $59.89
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $36.06
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $449.29
- Potential payout
- $548.25
- Potential profit
- $98.96
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$50.71
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.3%
- Current value
- $229.58
- Potential payout
- $496.38
- Potential profit
- $266.81
- Multiplier
- 2.16x
- User PnL
- $29.58
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $96.19
- Potential payout
- $494.53
- Potential profit
- $398.35
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $325.94
- Potential payout
- $326.1
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $25.94
No position
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.27
- Potential profit
- $266.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Senegal position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.9
- Potential profit
- $245.9
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $108.7
- Potential payout
- $203.18
- Potential profit
- $94.48
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $87.97
- Potential payout
- $199.93
- Potential profit
- $111.96
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Algeria position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $131.35
- Potential payout
- $165.22
- Potential profit
- $33.87
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $31.35
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $149.27
- Potential payout
- $159.22
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.93
No position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.78
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.57
Yes position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.86
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.35
N
No position
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
N
No position
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.27
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.17
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.93
N
No position
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.32
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.3
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$65.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- USMCA extended in 2026?Yes 24.4% 614.56 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 94.2% 159.22 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 50% 199.93 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 20.2% 494.53 shares
- Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?Yes 59.1% 203.18 shares
- Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60.5% 165.22 shares
- Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 37.6% 266.27 shares
- Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 428.57 shares
- Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 161.41 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 182.86 shares
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 72% 166.67 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Yes 30.3% 329.84 shares