Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $669.66K
- Potential payout
- $670K
- Potential profit
- $335
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Polymarket Trader
b4k9xj2wh
0x521a8c20563ccc9e1c8ebfe5cfe6c8f9b2f8d12f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $759.1K
- Realized PnL
- $175.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $39.68K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- $900.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $29.89K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- $795
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $19.86K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- $550
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.25K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.44K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57K
No position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
No position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.6% 1,444.22 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98% 63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.8% 100,000 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 98.9% 173.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.8% 1,561.39 shares
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 99.9% 3,087.99 shares
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 99.9% 24,800.59 shares
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 0.1% 763.02 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 94.7% 1,594.36 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 7?No 97.7% 274.28 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 99.6% 166.45 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No 99.6% 766.98 shares