Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $86.55
- Potential profit
- $86.25
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Polymarket Trader
hk1q1q1q
0x5234a1a8c3e14e1bb088c900af26f9be2e599422
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.96
- Realized PnL
- $187.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.27
- Potential profit
- $26.27
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.26
- Potential profit
- $26.26
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $15.84
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$12.61
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.44
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Under position
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $6.3
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Under position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Penguins position
Penguins vs. Utah
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Pacers position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Palermo FC vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 16% 18.75 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?Yes 91% 5.49 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 84% 5.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?Yes 7% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?Yes 5.2% 19.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?No 70.3% 7.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?No 95.2% 26.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp 58% 1.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp 99% 1.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp 98% 1.02 shares