No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $178.36K
- Potential payout
- $216.19K
- Potential profit
- $37.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $25.39K
Polymarket Trader
back-in-whack
0x5235578efe24555b0c98e7dc10a902b09089c04a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $225.13K
- Realized PnL
- $248.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $46.77K
- Potential payout
- $107.52K
- Potential profit
- $60.75K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$8.57K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.57K
- Potential profit
- $90.57K
- User PnL
- -$10.85K
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.37K
- Potential profit
- $47.37K
- User PnL
- -$25.71K
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39K
- Potential profit
- $39K
- User PnL
- -$7.41K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.22K
- Potential profit
- $38.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.35K
- Potential profit
- $32.35K
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.01K
- Potential profit
- $32.01K
- User PnL
- -$5.5K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.64K
- Potential profit
- $23.64K
- User PnL
- -$189.96
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.97K
- Potential profit
- $22.97K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.37K
- Potential profit
- $20.37K
- User PnL
- -$3.74K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.74K
- Potential profit
- $19.74K
- User PnL
- -$728.76
Yes position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.2K
- Potential profit
- $19.2K
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54K
- Potential profit
- $17.54K
- User PnL
- -$617
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.03K
- Potential profit
- $16.03K
- User PnL
- -$7.92K
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.28K
- Potential profit
- $14.28K
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.48K
- Potential profit
- $13.48K
- User PnL
- -$375
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.91K
- Potential profit
- $12.91K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $12.49K
- Potential profit
- $12.48K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$450.88
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.79K
- Potential profit
- $11.79K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.64K
- Potential profit
- $11.64K
- User PnL
- -$855.19
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.58K
- Potential profit
- $11.58K
- User PnL
- -$1.78K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.57K
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.45K
- Potential profit
- $11.45K
- User PnL
- -$575.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.57K
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95K
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.83K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.83K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42K
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5K
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 16% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 142 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?Yes 6% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 749 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 290 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 773 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?Yes 6% 43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 473.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 488.47 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?Yes 6% 215 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 1,000 shares