Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $940.54
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $330.46
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $228.78
Polymarket Trader
RickyCastillo7127
0x524313ce96849be79db072a3ba8344aa5b38a73c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.64K
- Realized PnL
- $3.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $443.48
- Potential payout
- $657
- Potential profit
- $213.52
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $9.85
Afghanistan position
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $255.51
- Potential payout
- $501
- Potential profit
- $245.49
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $150.3
Yes position
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.14
Yes position
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.51
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.54
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.8
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.69
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $224
Yes position
Will Jamshedpur FC win on 2026-03-06?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.61
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $188.16
Yes position
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $136.52
Yes position
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.56
No position
Will Trump say "Olympics" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Heat
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.36
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.3
Yes position
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.05
Yes position
Will John Oliver say "DHS" or "ICE" on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.82
Yes position
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.16
Yes position
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.75
Yes position
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.81
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $82.32
No position
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $70.01
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
Penn State Nittany Lions position
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $59.8
No position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $58.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Waymo IPO before 2027?No 87% 258 shares
- Waymo IPO before 2027?No 87% 696 shares
- Waymo IPO before 2027?No 87% 124 shares
- Waymo IPO before 2027?No 86% 83 shares
- Clavicular arrested again by April 30?No 63% 250 shares
- Clavicular arrested again by April 30?No 63% 304 shares
- Clavicular arrested again by April 30?No 59% 554 shares
- Waymo IPO before 2027?No 88% 1,161 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 66% 657 shares
- Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?No 69% 551 shares
- Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?No 69% 571 shares
- Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?No 81% 1,122 shares