Polymarket Trader

La.Bruja.Lola.

0x524bf1d02b3b50fa277a13b9e85bf9e8868a3fb8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $279.94
Realized PnL: $230.43
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $812.29
Potential profit: $812.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.27
Potential profit: $561.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.62
Potential profit: $313.62
User PnL: -$10

No position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $279.94
Potential payout: $296.23
Potential profit: $16.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $40.38

Yes position

US strikes Yemen before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.5
Potential profit: $212.5
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.92
Potential profit: $169.92
User PnL: -$25

No position

Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $156
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.75
Potential profit: $124.75
User PnL: -$9.98

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.48
Potential profit: $36.48
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $29.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $23.93
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.25

Yes position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.84

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.63

Yes position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

No position

Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 91% 50 shares
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 80.5% 99.32 shares
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 81% 246.91 shares
Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?

No 0.9% 112.14 shares
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Yes 80.1% 80.95 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

No 0.9% 111.11 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Yes 81.1% 14.7 shares
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?

Yes 8% 124.75 shares
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?

Yes 3.2% 313.62 shares
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?

Yes 8% 212.5 shares
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Yes 21% 80.95 shares
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares