Polymarket Trader

0x525e4Bb4631F332BB2f90F266aE15DA9a2B9Ee0d-1765524795236

0x525e4bb4631f332bb2f90f266ae15da9a2b9ee0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $884.74
Realized PnL: $1.44K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $632.08
Potential payout: $664.3
Potential profit: $32.22
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $167.07

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$101.8

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $178.02
Potential payout: $182.49
Potential profit: $4.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $72.17

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $148.76
Potential profit: $139.17
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$94.54

Yes position

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.53
Potential profit: $136.53
User PnL: -$69.63

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$7.45

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.23
Potential profit: $69.23
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.03
Potential profit: $46.03
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Ivan Perišić: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$13.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.62

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.5

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.98

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.68

No position

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.76

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,900-$7,000 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.41

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.78

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.68

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 62% 100 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

No 20% 50 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 63% 46.03 shares
Ivan Perišić: 1+ assists

Yes 30% 45 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Under 80% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

No 41% 100 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

No 31% 65 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5

Under 70% 71.43 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5

Under 58% 86.21 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95.7% 107.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 93% 49.99 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 55.17 shares