Polymarket Trader

IVANCASTANEDA

0x526595b02fef8a3440101dfb0c94ada07959965e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $329.97
Realized PnL: $391.84
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$108.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $56.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $243.45
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $31.12
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $218.87
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $19.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $180.3
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $170.5
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.9
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $172.5
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.75
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $1.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.85

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.8

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Yes 2.3% 220 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Yes 24% 220 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 52% 200 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 200 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 100 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 300 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 2,500 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 2,000 shares