Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $54.91
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Polymarket Trader
doudouisacat
0x526e3cfab149b30f49ec5f26faccee108f3d71f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.34
- Realized PnL
- $19.67
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $51.22
- Potential payout
- $52.72
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $36.23
- Potential profit
- $29.33
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $26.95
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $21.59
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $9.27
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 6.6% 7.63 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 0.6% 2.94 shares
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?No 60% 1.67 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?No 72% 6.94 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 88% 22.73 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 89.1% 11.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 94.8% 52.72 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.2% 10.87 shares