Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Polymarket Trader
Trilannon
0x528b7e8f2c1ba2c1a7b5bcbc57d45cf544df62e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.77
- Realized PnL
- $76.97
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $118.89
- Potential profit
- $117.7
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.77
- Potential payout
- $103.66
- Potential profit
- $95.89
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.23
Yes position
Will BNB reach $700 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.92
- Potential profit
- $75.92
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $54.12
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$5.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $35.63
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.93
- Potential profit
- $30.93
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.42
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 32.3% 30.93 shares
- Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 45% 66.67 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 1.7% 118.89 shares
- Will BNB reach $700 in March?Yes 65.9% 75.92 shares
- Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes 38.6% 103.66 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?No 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No 13.6% 73.53 shares