Polymarket Trader

patze05

0x528d19935f73a0c4fbfe087c6be415d3e516b497

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.74
Realized PnL: $92.27
Win rate: 47.1%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $220.59
Potential profit: $214.85
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $121.21
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $33.48
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 25?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 26?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on June 28 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

No position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces in Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

No 89.3% 319.19 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Yes 6.8% 220.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Down 28% 3.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Up 63% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 121.21 shares
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 111.11 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

No 81% 340.54 shares