Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $21.75
- Potential payout
- $35.36
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Polymarket Trader
0x528e...c1e7
0x528e655c40ef4f36070933315f92b76862b4c1e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $134.83
- Realized PnL
- -$5.98
- Win rate
- 65.2%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $32.53
- Potential payout
- $35.17
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $20.29
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $14.52
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $16.34
- Potential payout
- $17.48
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $4.66
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $8.1
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.85
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.86
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 6 2026?No 68% 7.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 41.4% 8.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 52% 9.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 6.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 8 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 66% 9 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 18% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 12.5 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 68% 7 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 78% 8.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 49% 3.06 shares