Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $121.24
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$467.53
Polymarket Trader
GeneTheCow - 11222
0x5293afa5701c01e72de77f428ddcea438b644b34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $11.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $198.73
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$479.7
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $415
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $585
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $96.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $543
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $202.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $297.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$175
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $442.7
- Potential profit
- $439.82
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$102
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Current value
- $226.92
- Potential payout
- $250.32
- Potential profit
- $23.41
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.14
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $159
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$146.6
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $47.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.77
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $46.73
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $25.65
- Potential payout
- $27.07
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
No position
U.S. recession before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $675.92
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.87
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.69
No position
Will FDP be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.74
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.03
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Germany confidence vote in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.89
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.7
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.25
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.63
Yes position
Will Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.5
No position
No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.99
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.59
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.57
No position
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 97% 148.99 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 500 shares
- Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No 98.4% 103.72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 50.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No 98.6% 609.58 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 96.4% 500 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 74.8% 500 shares
- Bank of England rate cut in 2025?Yes 97.8% 60.23 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 95% 1.34 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 90% 648.05 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 73% 500.88 shares