Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $356.94
- Potential profit
- $356.94
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Polymarket Trader
0x52968f8783027bEaE11728C1FBaC057dE1cd6D7B-1763969850506
0x52968f8783027beae11728c1fbac057de1cd6d7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.32
- Realized PnL
- $179.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.71
- Potential profit
- $332.71
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $329.46
- Potential profit
- $327.98
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $283.48
- Potential profit
- $283.34
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.53
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $252.12
- Potential profit
- $252
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.96
- Potential profit
- $237.96
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $213.12
- Potential profit
- $212.37
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.3
- Potential profit
- $186.3
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.82
- Potential profit
- $184.82
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.35
- Potential profit
- $166.35
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $165.82
- Potential profit
- $165.57
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $165.81
- Potential profit
- $165.56
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $145.67
- Potential profit
- $145.16
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $144.18
- Potential profit
- $142.09
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $143.62
- Potential profit
- $142.97
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.12
- Potential profit
- $125.12
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.12
- Potential profit
- $125.12
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $118.95
- Potential profit
- $118.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.23
- Potential profit
- $118.23
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $113.47
- Potential profit
- $112.62
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $113.47
- Potential profit
- $113.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $113.47
- Potential profit
- $113.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.47
- Potential profit
- $113.47
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $113.47
- Potential profit
- $113.41
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.53
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.53
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $2.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 26.15 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 18% 12.8 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 20.32 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.8% 45.75 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No 8.8% 22.88 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 30.5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.5% 36.61 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 5.7% 31.38 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 12% 10.16 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 22% 29.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 47.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 31.38 shares