Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1M
- Potential profit
- $2.1M
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
Polymarket Trader
adasol
0x5297f1e1d0f0584537af763652a0a5f874037b99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.24K
- Realized PnL
- $10.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $496.93K
- Potential profit
- $495.68K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $432.33
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.52K
- Potential profit
- $340.52K
- User PnL
- -$340.52
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $53.13
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.2K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $7.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.7K
- Potential payout
- $5.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $58.36
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $454.36
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $792.18
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$642.42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $565.89
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $435.86
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$11.63
Yes position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $42.91
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $957.31
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $11.89
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $834.32
- Potential payout
- $993.24
- Potential profit
- $158.92
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $353.61
- Potential payout
- $968.78
- Potential profit
- $615.18
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $43.99
- Potential payout
- $676.78
- Potential profit
- $632.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.79
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $532.6
- Potential profit
- $532.6
- User PnL
- -$254.54
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $100.39
- Potential payout
- $446.16
- Potential profit
- $345.78
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $12.14
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $36.02
- Potential payout
- $400.17
- Potential profit
- $364.15
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $316.41
- Potential payout
- $331.32
- Potential profit
- $14.91
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Current value
- $170.94
- Potential payout
- $200.39
- Potential profit
- $29.46
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $34.57
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.3
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $70.61
- Potential payout
- $166.15
- Potential profit
- $95.53
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.16
- Potential profit
- $150.16
- User PnL
- -$28.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $101.05
- Potential payout
- $101.25
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $98.12
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $744.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $668.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $644.35
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $632.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $394.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $242.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.77
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.88
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.23
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $147.48
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.49
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.8
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.03
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $119.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.2% 4,287.12 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 85% 55.56 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 86.9% 110.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.2% 11,191.27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 36.3% 139.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 36.4% 140 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 87% 300 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 39.1% 97.19 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 90.5% 84 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 89% 30 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 88% 56.82 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 87% 95.24 shares