Polymarket Trader

whckj

0x529af540d4776d7298588f854bc0790f46e84c1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $143.63
Realized PnL: $26.38
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $38.88
Potential payout: $63.74
Potential profit: $24.86
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $31.54

Yes position

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $28.59
Potential profit: $22.59
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $5.69
Potential payout: $24.21
Potential profit: $18.52
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.96

No position

US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $23.17
Potential payout: $23.22
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $20.47
Potential profit: $19.09
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $13.78
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $13.26
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $12.68
Potential payout: $12.89
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $9.31
Multiplier: 6.54x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $10.69
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $9.48
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.86

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 84.7%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $6.88
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $2.39
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.38

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.09

FOKUS position

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs Formulation Gaming (+2.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.52

No position

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3

ZEDI Esports position

Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.23

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.45

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.63

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

No 80% 1.36 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

No 78.9% 6.88 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 23.1% 12.8 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Yes 22.7% 4.8 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

No 10.7% 10.19 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

No 10.6% 10.28 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

No 75.9% 6.61 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 87% 13.26 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?

No 45.6% 2.39 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

No 12% 9.08 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

No 10% 8.01 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?

No 11% 9.91 shares