Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $20.67
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $112.67
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Polymarket Trader
xiaohualun
0x529cd18c2b7005741c71b79317f095bb79419ed4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.02
- Realized PnL
- $148.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $39.87
- Potential profit
- $32.89
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$23.02
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $28.52
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$21.48
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $28.3
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$24.2
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $23.82
- Potential payout
- $33.79
- Potential profit
- $9.97
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $21.2
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $20.62
- Potential profit
- $15.57
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$14.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $47.59
Y
Yes position
Switzerland leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Yes position
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.52
Yes position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Timberwolves position
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jul 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Thunder position
Pacers vs. Thunder
Ends Jun 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Timberwolves position
Suns vs. Timberwolves
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Bucks position
Bulls vs. Bucks
Ends Nov 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
Ends Nov 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Pistons position
Hornets vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Celtics position
Heat vs. Celtics
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Knicks
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Thunder position
Pacers vs. Thunder
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?No 98% 102.08 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 133.33 shares
- Switzerland leading at halftime?Yes 64% 78.13 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 64% 138.44 shares
- OKX IPO in 2026?No 85% 173.63 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?Yes 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?Yes 99.8% 50.1 shares
- Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)Yes 99.7% 30.09 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 9?Yes 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes 99.3% 50.55 shares
- Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes 98.9% 50.56 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 72% 138.44 shares