Polymarket Trader

kamanova

0x52a3726dea9cac5cde38958d332decbd7fdeedc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.78
Realized PnL: $4.28
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $18.36
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $2.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.42
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

New Pope announced by May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Pakistan military strike on India in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Israel intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Israel position

Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Africa?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Yes 59.6% 1.68 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 99.8% 1.35 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 81% 1.78 shares
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 81.5% 1.23 shares
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Yes 40.8% 2.45 shares
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares