Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $49.17
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
Quentinvn
0x52ab059ac00f32a3e6b92d87d4d4929d57b1a71e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.17
- Realized PnL
- $13.25
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96% 52.08 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 98.4% 63.41 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 82% 63.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 19.79 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 19.79 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 99.2% 19.25 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 98.7% 19.25 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.3% 19.35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 19.35 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.1% 18.73 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.1% 18.73 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 20.65 shares