Polymarket Trader

MajidJavadi

0x52b74441def3510e1839eadac7875423c0b54597

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.86K
Realized PnL: $228.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $15.7K
Potential payout: $19.51K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $7.99K

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.28K
Potential profit: $13.28K
User PnL: -$4.93K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $11.15K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.18K

No position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.49K
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $31.63
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $668.29
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $31.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $16.56
User PnL: $946.87

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $851.66
Potential payout: $978.92
Potential profit: $127.26
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $166.42

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $593.76
Potential payout: $630.32
Potential profit: $36.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $311.24

No position

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $20.37
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $7.23

No position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.15K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.85K

Yes position

Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.88K

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29K

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1K

Yes position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16K

No position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04K

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92K

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.03K

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.86K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

Yes position

US strikes Yemen by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 87.2% 5,722.51 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 85.9% 1,859.96 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 50% 931.17 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Yes 72% 5,283.58 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 1,932 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?

Yes 11.7% 290 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 59% 8,420.88 shares
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Yes 72.2% 30.64 shares
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Yes 8.8% 356.51 shares
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

No 12.1% 247.19 shares
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

No 85.6% 73.85 shares
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

No 84.9% 2,112.52 shares