Polymarket Trader

Aryfer

0x52be9769b4ba83234780c8b8a07ebd5d06dabd3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $565.78
Realized PnL: $64.35
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $16.65
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$14.08

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $345.83
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $65.43

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$30.75

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $890
Potential profit: $880.66
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$41.46

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $178.48
Potential payout: $832.09
Potential profit: $653.6
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $19.81

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $815.3
Potential profit: $814.08
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$25.78

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.05
Potential profit: $146.05
User PnL: -$49.95

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.06

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: -$0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.3% 210.21 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 6.4% 395 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 59% 98.2 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 60% 98.2 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 28.6% 212.3 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 28.7% 212.3 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 59% 107.6 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.7% 634.35 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6% 70 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 1,624.74 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.2% 400 shares