No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.37K
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $435.81
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $772.99
Polymarket Trader
tumbra
0x52ca8cad990148ffad046766efae6dd87ffe523f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.94K
- Realized PnL
- $9.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $646.28
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- $98.4
No position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $907.6
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $112.18
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $40.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $924.98
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.28
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $731.61
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $679.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.24
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.53
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.33
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.69
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.12
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.92
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.13
No position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.99
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $124.31
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.87
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $119.98
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.02
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $92.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 2.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 2,597.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?No 99.1% 3,690.75 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 82% 2.44 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 81.1% 2,963.48 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 89% 1.36 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 87% 9.75 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 78% 683.54 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 86% 50.7 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 77% 3.99 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 77% 2,157.31 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No 83% 11.76 shares