Polymarket Trader

PJOTA

0x530ec212965257627f7b03ca5f12c04e796346c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $441.83
Realized PnL: -$87.32
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $31K
User PnL: -$62

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.28K
Potential profit: $23.28K
User PnL: -$425.47

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $441.77
Potential payout: $17.39K
Potential profit: $16.95K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $337.76

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $11.25K
User PnL: -$215.2

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $4.95K
User PnL: -$49.45

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$116.76

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$49.71

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$129.67

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$25

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.1
Potential profit: $612.1
User PnL: -$34.95

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.03
Potential profit: $553.03
User PnL: -$20

No position

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.5
Potential profit: $501.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.3
Potential profit: $500.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.01
Potential profit: $273.01
User PnL: -$61.68

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.26
Potential profit: $250.26
User PnL: -$39.2

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.11
Potential profit: $236.11
User PnL: -$11

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$3

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $41.39
Potential profit: $41.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $134.22

No position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.34

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $24.54

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

No position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.37

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.86

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44.68

No position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.99

Yes position

Solana above $190 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 5.4% 185.19 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 12% 125 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 4% 2,030.06 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.3% 272.5 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.5% 84 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 800 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 10.1% 1,093.4 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.9% 15 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 99 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 36% 41.39 shares