Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $119.42
- Potential payout
- $143.02
- Potential profit
- $23.6
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Polymarket Trader
Adoph
@ann_aileen25
0x530f9ba29e53a9167e5f456946ac4ae8a7d68108
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.39
- Realized PnL
- $74.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $41.98
- Potential payout
- $42.77
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.7
- Potential profit
- $34.7
- User PnL
- -$33.31
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25.41
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No 98.4% 25.41 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No 98.2% 42.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 143.02 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 82% 153.66 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 80% 21.25 shares
- Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Yes 99.1% 16.48 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 93% 109.68 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes 99.7% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 99.9% 18.08 shares
- Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?Yes 97.2% 19.51 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes 80% 20 shares
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 99.2% 24.55 shares